The Game Plan

Macroeconomic investing stratgies (sector and seasonality rotation analysis, technical analysis, and a tad bit of financial analysis to determine entry and exit points to profit from short-term market opportunites is really the focus and scope of this blog. Personally, I feel ETF's are the most efficient way to accomplish this task. Therefore, although I will talk about individual stocks on occasion, its not really my focus to do alot of analysis of individual stocks although it can be helpful when you want to go for broke by investing in the top 10 in leading sector ETF's or there distant cousins, Mutual Funds. I am a Economist by training and so I use more of an economic approach by looking at economic buisness cycles, trends, and data to determine which way my when is blowing. Speaking of which, literally ten minutes ago I just finished reviewing the final revisions of the 4th quarter GDP on http://www.bea.gov/ and let me tell you it was a doozy. It was mostly bad news and not much variation from the preliminary release as for most of us who watch buisness news or read the buisness section in our local newspapers would know. One thing that was very interesting was the numbers on growth from foreign economies relative to the United States and the premonitions ( I drew) of possibly worser things to come with a potential substantial decrease in imports from goods abroad. Last quarter real imports of goods and services decreased 1.4 percent How well will the rest of the world continue to hold up or deteriote if United States real imports falls substantially more, especially considering slow downs we are already seeing in China and other parts of the world, things can get real ugly. I will continue to watch this trend as there are vast implications and opportunities to profit.